Copilot
Certainly! Here’s a concise summary of Leopold Aschenbrenner’s report on Situational Awareness:

OOMs Go Zoom:
Leopold discusses the rapid evolution of AI capabilities, focusing on orders of magnitude (OOMs) of effective compute.
Factors contributing to growth include increased computational power, algorithmic efficiency, and paradigm-shifting developments.
Conclusion: AGI is approaching rapidly1.
Factors in Effective Compute:
Compute: Training language models has become 3,000-10,000 times more computationally intensive from GPT-2 to GPT-4.
Algorithmic efficiency: Advances in machine learning science save compute, adding 1-2 OOMs.
Unhobbling: Paradigm shifts unlock latent model capabilities, further enhancing effective compute1.
In summary, AGI is on the horizon, driven by computational progress and algorithmic innovations. 😊🌟